2005 Summer Institute: El Nino: Past, Present and Future

Start Date/Time: Sunday, September 18, 2005, 9:00 AM
Location: Sleeping Lady, Leavenworth WA

In 2005 the focus was on the role of El Niņo in the modern climate system, in Earth history, and in a global warming future. A combination of the growing popularity of the PCC summer institute, together with a timely topic, attracted nearly 70 participants to this 3 day retreat at Sleeping Lady in Leavenworth, Washington.

Several groups of people contributed to the success of this years' program: the invited speakers, the enthusiastic graduate students and UW faculty, the generally energetic session chairs, and of course the organizers. Jim Murray and Curtis Deutsch put together an outstanding program.

We thank the local invited speakers, Ed Miles, David Battisti, Mike McPhaden, Richard Feely and Todd Mitchell, and the out-of-town speakers, Sandy Tudhope (Edinburgh University), George Philander (Princeton), Pete Strutton (OSU) and Axel Timmerman (University of Hawaii) for the time and effort they devoted to participating in this years program.

The powerpoint or pdf files of the presentations, and the student summaries of most of the sessions can be accessed from the links below or to the right. Thank-you to all for sending in your contributions.

List of Participants (pdf)

Sunday, Sept. 18, 2005
Keynote Presentation
Professor Ed Miles (UW School of Marine Affairs and the PNW Climate Impacts Group) "So where are we (the World) on this climate change problem?"
Student summary of Ed Miles' talk

Monday, Sept. 19
Session 1 "What are the essential dynamics of El Niņo, how does it influence global climate?"

Session Chair: Charlie Eriksen
Speakers: David Battisti of UW and Mike McPhaden of UW/PMEL

Link to:
Battisti/McPhaden Presentation
Student summary of Battisti/McPhaden Presentation

Session 2: How has El Niņo strength and frequency changed in the past, and what might be the causes?

Session Chair: Gerard Roe
Speakers: Sandy Tudhope, Edinburgh University and George Philander, Princeton)

Link to:
Tudhope Presentation
Philander Presentation
Philander Book Chapter, Historical Perspective, oceanography today in the light of developments over the past few decades.
Student summary of the Philander and Tudhope Presentations

Tuesday, Sept. 20
Session 3: What are the impacts of El Niņo on the carbon cycle?
Session Chair: Paul Quay
Speakers: Richard Feely, PMEL/UW and Pete Strutton, OSU

Link to:
Feely Presentation
Strutton Presentation
Student summary Feely/Strutton Session

Session 4: What does this understanding imply for the impact of global warming on El Niņo?
Session Chair: Nate Mantua
Speakers: Axel Timmerman, University of Hawaii and Todd Mitchell, UW

Link to:
Timmerman Website
Mitchell Presentation
Student summaries of Timmerman/Mitchell Session

Wednesday, Sept. 21
Session 5 : The UW PCC in 2005/2006. (James Murray, Program on Climate Change Director, UW)