Start Date/Time: Wednesday, February 02, 2011, 12:30 PM
Location: OSB 425
While perhaps the most obvious, ice retreat is just one aspect of a
changing Arctic system. The Arctic Ocean is also undergoing unprecedented
modifications, that mostly affect its heat and freshwater budgets. As the
signal of Arctic change is expected to have its major climatic impact by
reaching south the subarctic seas, on either side of Greenland, to
modulate the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, the objective of this talk
is to investigate the variability of the exports of volume, heat,
freshwater and sea-ice from the Arctic Ocean to the North Atlantic.
First, a realistic simulation from 1958 to 2002 run with a global
ocean/sea-ice model is used to investigate some aspects of the variability
of the Arctic freshwater budget, trying to understand which component of
the balance is responsible for the variability of the Arctic freshwater
content. We also examine the variability of the freshwater exports to the
North Atlantic and we find that this variability is controlled differently
on both sides of Greenland: whilst freshwater transport variations across
Davis Strait are completely determined by the variations of the total
volume flux, the salinity variations due to the ice ocean flux north of
Greenland are responsible for a significant part of the freshwater export
variability through Fram Strait. Afterward, a simulation run with a fully
assimilated model of the very recent period is used to explore the
possible consequences of the 2007 sea ice extent minimum on the Arctic
Ocean freshwater content.
Then, the origins of the water masses exported from the Arctic to the
North Atlantic along both sides of Greenland are investigated, using an
original numerical method. A quantitative Lagrangian analysis is applied
to the monthly climatological 3D output of a global ocean/sea-ice high
resolution model. It allows quantification of the different branches of
the export to the North Atlantic, as well as related timescales and water
mass transformations. A complete and coherent scheme of circulation for
the Arctic is proposed, and the role of the Barents Sea for the
transformation of the Atlantic inflow is emphasized.