PCC 9th Annual Public Lecture (2010)- Dr. Brian Soden, "Reducing Uncertainty in Predictions of Climate Change"

Start Date/Time: Thursday, February 11, 2010, 7:00 PM
Location: Kane 120, UW Seattle Campus

The UW Program on Climate Change is pleased to announce its 9th annual public lecture to be presented by Dr. Brian J. Soden from the Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences (RSMAS), Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, University of Miami.

Cost: FREE, no advanced registration needed.

Information: UW Program on Climate Change, 206-543-6521 or uwpcc@u.washington.edu

Abstract
There exists a widespread consensus on the reality of global warming. Human activities have caused global temperatures to rise over the past half-century and additional man-made warming in the coming decades is unavoidable. While we can make these statements with confidence, little progress has been made in reducing uncertainty in projections of the magnitude of climate change to be expected. Observational records have extended and improved, and computer models have become increasingly sophisticated, yet the range of predicted warming for a given rise in CO2 has not been significantly reduced. In this talk, I will outline the role of natural "feedback" processes in amplifying both the certainty and uncertainty in projections of climate change, describe how they may be better constrained from observations, and discuss some potential surprises that these feedbacks may have in store for our future.

Download the lecture Powerpoint here.
Download an audio file of the lecture here.

About Dr. Soden
Dr. Brian J. Soden is a Professor of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography at the University of Miami's Rosenstiel School for Marine and Atmospheric Science. Dr. Soden specializes in the use of satellite observations to test and improve computer model simulations of climate change. During the past 15 years he has published over 70 peer-reviewed papers on a variety of topics, but most often related to the response of the climate system to global warming. He received his B.S. degree from the University of Miami, and M.S. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Chicago. Before returning to the University of Miami, Dr. Soden was a Visiting Scientist and Lecturer at Princeton University, and a Physical Scientist with NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory in Princeton, NJ. Dr. Soden also served as a Lead Author of the 2007 report for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. His awards include the American Meteorological Society’s Henry G. Houghton Award, the National Space Club’s David S. Johnson Award, and the NASA H.E. Langley award.

Location and Directions
Kane Hall is located on the north side of Red Square on the UW Seattle campus. Link to campus map showing location. Paid parking is available in the Central Plaza Garage below Kane Hall.

Driving Directions: From I-5, take the NE 45th Street exit (#169). Turn east onto NE 45th Street. Continue east about one quarter mile to 15th Avenue NE and turn right. Head south on 15th Avenue three blocks to NE 41st Street. Turn left at Gate #1 into the Central Plaza Garage. Stop at the gatehouse inside the garage for directions and a parking permit.

Transit Information: There are more than 60 bus routes from all over King and Snohomish counties serving the University District. For more information on taking a bus to the UW, visit the King County's Trip Planner site.