OCEAN DIALOGUES 2008: Peak Oil: An issue or a distraction? CANCELLED, WILL BE RESCHEDULED FOR THE FALL.

Start Date/Time: Wednesday, June 11, 2008, 3:30 PM
Location: TBD

Cancelled, to be rescheduled in the Fall.

James Murray (UW) and Roel Hammerschlag (SIE-US)
in "POINT-COUNTERPOINT"

The Peak Oil argument is that production of oil, a finite non-renewable geological resource, will ultimately reach a maximum and then decline. There is no debate that this will happen. But there is disagreement about when it will occur. Peak Oil does not mean “running out of oil”. Rather it means that when the peak has been reached, about 50% of the oil that can be extracted will have been recovered and that the remainder will be increasingly difficult, and expensive to extract.

The production and resources of coal can be assessed with similar tools and David Rutledge (Cal Tech) has recently assessed the ultimate resources of coal available both regionally and globally.

These discussions involve both short term and long range issues. We see the manifestation of the imbalance between supply and demand in the rapid increase in the price of oil over the past 5 years. The most significant long term impacts relate to the IPCC scenarios predicting CO2 production from now to 2100.

Energy may be eclipsing climate change as the “hot button” issue for the coming decades. The argument is that we must solve the energy issue in order to move forward on climate.

The issues of Peak Oil and resource limitation have not yet been given serious consideration by the climate change community and the impacts could be profound. For this reason it is important to have an open discussion of the data and the issues. Please inform yourselves and come to the Dialogue prepared to engage.

*Concept of Ocean Dialogues:
Several years ago, we began exploring the idea of having wide open discussion sessions in which controversial issues could be developed in a relaxed venue. This approach offers opportunities to highlight alternative viewpoints on issues and ethics that may be crucial to the future of the Oceans, our Environment, and Society in general. Jim and Roel have agreed to be a 'Point-Counterpoint' exchange in an Ocean Dialogue Session with students, faculty, staff, and interested citizens from the College of Ocean and Fisheries and beyond. We may also explore the concept that it is possible to disagree without being disagreeable.

Please join us in Room 425, Ocean Sciences Building between 3:30 and 5:30 pm on Wednesday, June 11, for spirited dialogue and a spirited beverage. Bring your opinions. It would be useful to know, in advance, if you are planning to participate….

Please share this announcement with potentially interested colleagues.

Local Contact: John Delaney, 206 543-5059
jdelaney@u.washington.edu

To provide a start....

This is a must-watch video of Robert Hirsch. And especially the follow up by T. Boone Pickens. Hirsch puts the situation in simple clear terms. He wrote the most famous report-that-no-one's-heard-about, for DOE.

Pickens talks about solutions as well as the problem.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=747947551

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=747990771