2014 PCC Summer Institute "Climate Variability and Uncertainty"

Start Date/Time: Monday, September 15, 2014, 2:00 PM
Ending Date/Time: Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 1:00 PM
Location: Friday Harbor Labs, San Juan Island

Led by Dargan Frierson, Atmospheric Sciences.

Link to information about Friday Harbor and the Labs

This years' summer institute will focus on the challenges of preparing for climate change in the presence of climate variability and uncertainty. The workshop will promote interaction between diverse physical climate scientists, ecosystem scientists, health professionals, and social scientists. Bringing these groups together is essential if we want to be able to bridge disciplinary divides to better anticipate how to prepare for the challenges that climate change will bring to natural and human systems. We will focus here on systems that are most vulnerable to climate change including understanding the impacts on ecosystems already under threat from other human activities as well as the potential impacts on vulnerable human populations.

Topics for discussion include:

  • What are the primary sources of uncertainty in climate projections?
  • How can we use past climate variability to understand how natural and human systems will be impacted by future climate change?
  • How predictable is regional and global climate variability one to ten years in advance? Could better climate models lead to better predictions on these time scales?
  • Is climate change already affecting the likelihood of extreme floods and droughts regionally?
  • Given uncertainty in climate predictions on decadal time scales, how can the impacts of climate change on vulnerable human and natural systems be managed?
  • What are the social and economic drivers that have to be considered?

  • Graduate student paper discussions sessions: TBD. Look for three, probably in August.

    Agenda and registration links to be posted late spring/early summer.