Start Date/Time: Monday, September 15, 2014, 2:00 PM
Ending Date/Time: Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 1:00 PM
Location: Friday Harbor Labs, San Juan Island
Led by Dargan Frierson, Atmospheric Sciences.
This years' summer institute will focus on the challenges of preparing for climate change in the presence of climate variability and uncertainty. The workshop is also a Friday Harbor Labs Centennial Symposium, and will promote interaction between diverse physical climate scientists, ecosystem scientists, health professionals, and social scientists. Bringing these groups together is essential if we want to be able to bridge disciplinary divides to better anticipate how to prepare for the challenges that climate change will bring to natural and human systems. We will focus here on systems that are most vulnerable to climate change including understanding the impacts on ecosystems already under threat from other human activities as well as the potential impacts on vulnerable human populations.
Topics for discussion include:
These are paper discussions, to help prepare graduate students for greater understanding of the summer institute presentations and discussions. Dargan is looking for volunteers to lead the discussions, please contact him if you can help out. (email@example.com)
Discussion Leaders: Nathan Steiger and Karl Lapo
Deser, C., R. Knutti, S. Solomon, and A. S. Phillips, 2012: Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate. Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 775-779, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1562.
Supplementary Material: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/staff/cdeser/docs/deser.communicating_navari.suppmat.ncc12.pdf
Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, M. A. Alexander, and B. V. Smoliak, 2014: Projecting North American Climate over the next 50 years: Uncertainty due to internal variability. J. Climate, 27, 2271-2296.
Supplementary Material: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/staff/cdeser/docs/deser.projected_climate.suppmat.jclim14.pdf
Discussion Leader: Bryce Harrop
Topic: Linking extreme weather events and climate.
Reading: Reconciling two approaches to attribution of the 2010 Russian heat wave
F. E. L. Otto, N. Massey, G. J. van Oldenborgh, R. G. Jones, and M. R. Allen
Discussion Leaders: Alex Lenferna and Alison Saperstein
Topic: Decision making in uncertainty and public perceptions
Reading: Josyln, S. and LeClerc J. (2013) Decisions With Uncertainty: The Glass Half Full. Current Directions in Psychological Science. 22:308